Ready
To Roll: The Benefits of Today’s Advanced-Technology Vehicles For Connecticut
ConnPIRG Education Fund
June 2003
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Executive Summary
Despite tighter automobile
emission standards over the last three decades, Connecticut continues to face
significant automobile-related air pollution problems. Increasing the use of
advanced-technology vehicles—those that use cleaner, alternative fuels or new
technological advances to achieve dramatically improved environmental performance—could
alleviate the state’s air pollution problems while reducing Connecticut’s contribution
to global warming and enhancing the state’s energy security.
Policies such as the Zero-Emission
Vehicle program (part of the Low-Emission Vehicle II emission standards adopted
by California, Massachusetts, New York and other states) can help bring increased
numbers of advanced-technology vehicles to Connecticut.
The inefficient use of
petroleum to power the state’s transportation system poses serious threats to
Connecticut’s environment and economy.
• During the summer of 2002,
air pollution monitors in Connecticut registered 179 exceedences of EPA health
standards for smog on 36 separate days. Light-duty vehicles such as cars, pick-up
trucks, minivans and sport utility vehicles (SUVs) are responsible for about
one-fifth of all emissions of nitrogen oxides and one-quarter of all emissions
of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) to the air. Nitrogen oxides and VOCs are
the chemical components of smog.
• Mobile sources, such as
cars and light trucks, are responsible for about 30 percent of Connecticut’s
emissions of greenhouse gases, which cause global warming. Global warming poses
severe potential threats to coastal and forest ecosystems and public health
in the state.
• Connecticut’s overreliance
on petroleum for transportation leaves the state susceptible to price spikes
and supply disruptions. These problems will become more severe over the next
several decades as global petroleum supplies tighten.
Advanced-technology vehicles
can alleviate many of these problems.
• Advanced-technology vehicles
can significantly reduce emissions of smog-forming pollutants and air toxics
from Connecticut cars and light trucks. The current generation of hybrid-electric
vehicles—such as the Toyota Prius and Honda Civic—are approximately 90 percent
cleaner than the average vehicle on sale in Connecticut today. Clean conventional
vehicles with state-of-the-art emission- reduction technology are now being
manufactured that attain similar pollution reductions.
• Advanced-technology vehicles
can also reduce Connecticut’s emissions of greenhouse gases, which cause global
warming. Vehicles that take advantage of the benefits of hybrid-electric technology
can produce about half as much global warming-inducing carbon dioxide per mile
as conventional vehicles.
• Many advanced-technology
vehicles also enhance Connecticut’s energy security by improving fuel efficiency
or using alternative fuels such as natural gas, electric power or hydrogen.
Several types of advanced-technology
vehicles are "ready to roll," yet availability of these vehicles in
Connecticut is limited.
• Hybrid-electric vehicles:
More than 65,000 hybrid-electric vehicles have been sold in the U.S. since 1999.
As many as 60 percent of potential vehicle buyers in a recent survey stated
that they would consider buying a hybrid, yet only three models of hybrid vehicles
are currently available to Connecticut consumers.
• Natural gas vehicles:
More than 120,000 natural gas vehicles are currently on American roads in a
variety of styles and configurations. Yet, only one automaker is thus far offering
them for sale to the general public. Lack of refueling opportunities has hindered
the further spread of these vehicles, and limitations in the supply of natural
gas make them unsuitable as a long-term alternative.
• Clean conventional
vehicles: Seven automakers now manufacture vehicles that meet California’s
rigorous partial Zero-Emission Vehicle (PZEV) emission standards. However, most
of these vehicles have only been made available to consumers in states that
have adopted Zero-Emission Vehicle programs.
• Battery-electric vehicles:
Automakers have sold more than 10,000 zero-emission battery-electric vehicles
to consumers in California and other states over the last decade. However, no
major automaker is currently selling battery-electric vehicles to consumers.
• Other types of vehicles—such
as “plug-in” hybrids and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles—also show the potential
for significant environmental benefits, but will require further research and
development before they become commercially feasible.
Adopting the Zero-Emission
Vehicle (ZEV) program would put tens of thousands of advanced-technology vehicles
on Connecticut’s roads by the end of the decade, at minimal cost to automakers
and potential net benefits to consumers.
• The ZEV program would
require automakers to sell approximately 52,000 hybrid-electric vehicles and
286,600 clean conventional vehicles in Connecticut between 2007 and 2011, with
the numbers increasing over time.
• Installing the technology
to meet these targets would cost automakers approximately $13.3 million in 2007,
increasing to $23 million in 2011. The incremental cost of the program in 2007
represents about 0.15 percent of sales by Connecticut new-car dealers in 2001
and 0.002 percent of the gross revenue of the six major automakers. Offsetting
financial benefits stemming from technology improvements that can be exported
to other vehicle lines, assistance in complying with other regulatory standards,
and consumers’ willingness to pay more for some ZEV-compliant vehicles will
reduce these costs further.
• Consumers are unlikely
to be negatively affected by the ZEV program. Most automakers have chosen not
to pass on the additional cost of conforming with PZEV emission standards. Should
the cost of hybrid-electric vehicles decrease, (as is anticipated) and gas prices
rise, many consumers will see a net financial benefit from purchasing more efficient
hybrid-electric vehicles.
Adoption of the Low-Emission
Vehicle II and Zero-Emission Vehicle programs is essential to getting clean,
advanced-technology vehicles onto Connecticut’s roads.
• The ZEV program would
ensure a consistent supply of clean vehicles for Connecticut consumers, create
economies of scale necessary to allow the construction of alternative-fuel infrastructure,
set high standards for vehicle technology, and help guide the development of
even cleaner automotive technologies in the years to come.
The goals of a ZEV requirement
in Connecticut are attainable, and achieving them would be beneficial to the
state. To ensure successful implementation of the program, the state should
take a leadership role in coordinating the expansion of alternative-fuel infrastructure
and educating the public about clean cars, and work to secure resources to support
those efforts.